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U.S. Economy Sends Mixed Messages: PPI Misses Expectations, Jobless Claims Strong – What's Next for the Fed?

on March 13, 2025

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Best-Selling Trading Books – Highly Recommended for Traders!

Morning Briefing: Financial Market Feb 21st, 2025

on February 21, 2025

Key Market Trends Morning Briefing

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US Inflation Falls to 2.8% in February – Markets Bet on a Softer Fed and Rate Cuts

US Core Inflation Slows in February, Potentially Opening the Door for a More Dovish Fed March 12, 2025 – The latest inflation data from the U.S. for February 2025 shows a promising sign for markets and policymakers, with both core and headline inflation coming in below consensus expectations. The Core Inflation Rate MoM for February came in at 0.2%, down from 0.4% in January and below the consensus forecast of 0.3%. Year-on-year, Core Inflation rose by 3.1%, also softer than the consensus estimate of 3.2%, and lower than the 3.3% figure seen in January. In addition, the headline inflation rate was recorded at 0.2% MoM, a significant drop from 0.5% in January and below the expected 0.3%. On a year-on-year basis, headline inflation slowed to 2.8%, undershooting the consensus of 2.9%, and down from the previous 3.0% figure. Easing Inflation Provides Hope for a Softer Fed These latest inflation readings provide some relief to markets and could signal that inflationary pressures ...

TSMC’s $100B US Expansion: How It Could Impact Your Investments

TSMC’s $100 Billion U.S. Expansion: Impact on the Semiconductor Industry and Financial Market Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is making a bold move with its $100 billion investment in U.S. chip manufacturing. This expansion aims to boost domestic semiconductor production while reducing reliance on Asian supply chains. Backed by President Donald Trump’s administration, the decision has sparked optimism but also divided opinions in the financial market, raising concerns about profitability amid geopolitical tensions and rising production costs. TSMC’s Growth Drivers and Potential Risks Growth Drivers Several factors support TSMC’s long-term growth potential: Rising Demand: The semiconductor industry is booming, driven by artificial intelligence (AI), 5G, and cloud computing . Strong Industry Partnerships: TSMC collaborates with major tech giants like Apple, AMD, and NVIDIA , ensuring a steady demand for its advanced chips. Government Incentives: The CHIPS Act ...

Federal Funds Rate vs. Inflation: Will the Fed Hike or Cut in 2025?

How the U.S. Federal Funds Rate Affects Core Inflation: Trends & Predictions Overview The U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy plays a critical role in shaping economic conditions, particularly through interest rate adjustments. One of the key economic indicators that influence the Fed's decisions is the core inflation rate , which excludes volatile food and energy prices. The two datasets provided—one showing the Fed Funds Rate and the other showing the U.S. Core Inflation Rate —offer valuable insights into the current state of the economy, the Fed’s policy stance, and potential future trends. In this article, we will analyze these data points, explore their relationship, and discuss the possible economic implications. Current U.S. Interest Rate and Inflation Trends 1. U.S. Federal Funds Rate Trends The first dataset provides historical and projected data on the U.S. Federal Funds Rate . The key observations are: The Fed Funds Rate saw a rapid increase from n...

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Darrisman's: Market Insights & Analysis Welcome! We break down key economic data, market trends, and Fed policies with sharp, data-driven analysis. No predictions—just insights to help you stay informed. Let’s dive into the numbers

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